Horses 2010

Tue Oct 23 14:29:20 2018


1 Overview

The raster GIS layer on Horses (2010) described in this document are part of the Gridded Livestock of the World database (GLW v3.1).

The GLW database was developped to meet three objectives:

  1. Collect, harmonize and disseminate sub-national global data on livestock distribution;
  2. Predict livestock numbers in areas with missing informations on livestock census counts;
  3. Provide an statistically-informed estimate of how livestock may distribute within census unit through downscaling algoritms.

Two main methods have been described in the litterature for distributing census data at the pixel level. The areal-weighted (AW) method simply considers that all pixels of the census area are equally suitable, and assign them an equal weight. It simply corresponds to the density of animals per km2 in the census unit multiplied by the pixel area. The dasymetric method (DA) assigns different weights to different pixels based on high resolution environmental predictor variables and Random Forest models, and the animal census counts are distributed according to these weights.

The AW and DA GLW global distribution data fit different purposes. The DA GLW models provide an estimate of how livestock species may be distributed within census areas. However, spatial predictors (e.g. human population density, vegetation indices, topography, etc.) that are used to derived the downscaling weights may introduce some uncontrolled counfonding effects for users willing to quantify the effect of livestock alongside these spatial predictors on an outcome. Similarly, the DA models may introduce circularity for users willing to use livestock data to study their impact on some these spatial factors, such as land-use, for example. The AW GLW models are free of any influence of spatial predictor variables, but produces more unrealistic distribution patterns, especially in large census areas containing a wide range of different land-use and farming conditions.

This report presents snapshots and links to high resolution maps of the different data layers available with the GLW v3.1 data package for Horses (2010). Three GIS layers are provided, as geotiff, with an extent of X:-180 to 180 / Y:-90 to 90, a resolution of 0.083333 decimal degrees, and with the projection CRS “+proj=longlat”:

  1. DA GLW model (5_Ho_2010_Da.tif): This layer contains the DA animal numbers per pixel, with weight estimated by the Random Forest model. Note that the totals number of animals per census polygon of the DA and AW GLW models should be identical.
  2. AW GLW model (6_Ho_2010_Aw.tif): This layer contains the AW animal numbers per pixel in polygons where data where available in the subnational census, and AW predictions from the the model in census area where the information was missing.
  3. AW GLW prediction status (7_Ho_2010_Ps.tif): This layer contains a value of 0 in pixels where the AW animal number is from a census, and value of 1 if the value was predicted by the GLW model.

2 Snapshots

Note that the snapshot below were produced in the equal-area pseudocylindrical Eckert IV projection for a proper representation of densities. The standard lat/long visualisation of global raster data tend to visually over-represent animal densities in pixels located in northern latitudes as they cover a much lower surface on earth than those close to the equator. Altough the data files are distributed in lat/long, we recommend the use of an equal-area projection for displaying our livestock density data.

2.1 Dasymetric GLW model (5_Ho_2010_DA.tif)

A high-resolution version can be visualised here.

2.2 Areal-weighted GLW model (6_Ho_2010_Aw.tif)

A high-resolution version can be visualised here.

2.3 Areas predicted in the AW model (7_Ho_2010_Ps.tif)

A high-resolution version can be visualised here.


3 Description of sub-national census data

3.1 Average Spatial Resolution (ASR)

The average spatial resolution (ASR) gives an estimate of the average resolution of each spatial unit used to build the GLW models. It is estimated, for each country as \(\sqrt[root]{Area/N_u}\), where Area is the surface of the country in square km, and \(N_u\) is the number of sub-national units per country.

3.2 Year of the sub-national input data

The following histogram and maps show the year of sub-national census data used for the GLW models.


4 Goodness of fit of polygon-level predictions

The following plot shows the goodness of fit metrics of the predictions summarized by continent and polygon size. Note that these GOF are all established through cross-validation, i.e. by measuring the correlation between observed and predicted animal numbers (log10-transformed) in polygons that were not used to train the Random Forest models (see Nicolas et al. 2015, for details). Note that some values are supported by a very low number of polygons (indicated by the np, which is the mean number of polygons used to estimate the correlation between observed and predicted values at each bootstrap).


5. Citations

The GLW database was originally described by Wint & Robinson (GLW v1, 2007) and used the DA method with weights quantified through stratified multiple regressions. The modelling procedure was automated and standardized for GLW v2 (Robinson et al. 2014) and the methodology used to derived the weights was recently improved by replacing stratified linear regression by Random Forest for producing GLW v3.0 (Nicolas et al. 2016). This dataset is described in full in Gilbert et al. (2018).


6. Country census data references

Table continues below
  Country ASR Year Census FAOSTAT Source
AFG Afghanistan 43.4 2003 142,043 197,000 Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Livestock of Afghanistan
DZA Algeria 219.7 2001 41,560 43,650 Direction des Services Vétérinaires - Ministère de l’Agriculture et du Développement Rural, Algérie
AZE Azerbaijan 34.9 2014 75,210 76,455 The State Statistical Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan
ALB Albania 28.1 2012 97,461 35,000 Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Consumer Protection, Albania
ARM Armenia 51.9 2015 11,430 10,777 National Statistical Service of the Republic of Armenia
AND Andorra 8.2 2012 688 NA Departament d’Estadística, Govern d’Andorra
AGO Angola 263.2 2005 4,394 1,000 Food and Agriculture Organisation of the UN
ARG Argentina 75.2 2002 1,482,982 3,600,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadistica Y Censos. Argentina.
AUS Australia 113.8 2011 292,356 258,000 Australian Bureau of Statistics
AUT Austria 96.6 2010 81,637 83,000 Statistics Austria
BWA Botswana 149.1 2014 26,827 41,169 Central Statistics Office of Botswana
BEL Belgium 26.7 2010 37,090 37,000 Directorate-General Statistics Belgium
BLZ Belize 60.9 2011 6,610 5,600 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
BOL Bolivia 347.1 2008 354,764 478,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Bolivia
BEN Benin 145.2 2004 620 1,100 Ministère de l’Agriculture de l’Elevage et de la Pèche - République du Benin
BLR Byelarus 41.9 2013 35,500 125,600 National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus
BRA Brazil 39.2 2014 5,455,565 5,514,253 Istituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatistica
BTN Bhutan 13.8 2013 17,201 17,996 Ministry of Agriculture and Forest, Royal Government of Bhutan
BGR Bulgaria 20.6 2010 69,374 112,800 Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry - Agrostatistics Directorate, Bulgaria
CAN Canada 42.9 2011 390,308 400,000 Statistics Canada
KHM Cambodia 31.1 2011 12,526 28,000 Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
TCD Chad 246.8 2013 415,386 420,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
CHN China 578.5 2012 6,046,000 6,785,000 National Bureau of Statistics of China
CHL Chile 50.1 2007 304,252 307,560 Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas, Chile
CMR Cameroon 224.1 2012 14,907 17,300 Institut National de la Statistique, Cameroun
COL Colombia 188.6 2014 1,153,820 2,126,109 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
CRI Costa Rica 85.8 2014 66,942 124,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Costa Rica
CUB Cuba 84.1 2012 365,012 613,600 Oficina Nacional de Estadísticas, República de Cuba
CPV Cape Verde 15.3 2004 340 525 Directorate of Livestock, Cape Verde
COK Cook Islands 15.8 2011 13 305 Ministry of Agriculture, Cook Islands Government
CYP Cyprus 40.9 2010 752 650 Statistical Service of Cyprus
DNK Denmark 21.3 2010 59,735 59,735 Denmark Statistics
ECU Ecuador 36.5 2000 371,093 367,248 Project SICA, Agricultural Information System, Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock, Ecuador
EGY Egypt 190.7 2010 65,971 65,965 Economic Affaire Sector, Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation, Egypt
IRL Ireland 51.8 2010 106,020 106,000 Central Statistical Office Ireland
EST Estonia 55.0 2009 5,200 5,400 Statistics Estonia
SLV El Salvador 9.4 2007 12,843 96,000 Ministerio de Economía, El Salvador
ETH Ethiopia 119.6 2012 1,907,050 2,028,233 Central Statistical Authority, Ethiopia
CZE Czech Republic 32.1 2010 24,905 30,518 Czech Statistical Office
FIN Finland 145.1 2014 74,600 74,300 The Finnish Horse Breeding Association - Suomen Hippos ry
FJI Fiji 34.9 2009 27,123 46,000 Department of Agriculture Economic Planning and Statistic Division, Fiji
FLK Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas) 63.3 2010 519 1,200 Department of Agriculture, Falkland Islands Government
FRA France 76.0 2010 410,329 422,902 Ministère de l’Agriculture, de l’Agroalimentaire et de la Forét, France
GMB Gambia, The 46.3 2007 32,268 38,000 National Agriculture Development Agency (NADA)
GEO Georgia 31.8 2004 38,165 40,000 National Statistics Office of Georgia
DEU Germany 95.7 2010 470,540 545,000 Federal Statistical Office of the Federal Republic of Germany
GRC Greece 50.9 2013 26,238 27,100 Hellenic Statistical Authority
GTM Guatemala 18.2 2003 160,813 127,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Guatemala
GIN Guinea 267.8 2001 650 3,250 Service National des Statistiques Agricoles - Ministère de l’Agriculture, de l’Elevage et des Forêts
HTI Haiti 14.4 2009 274,763 500,000 Ministère de l’Agriculture des Ressources Naturelles et du Développement Rural, République d’Haïti
HRV Croatia 10.2 2003 11,114 19,000 Croatian Bureau of Statistics
HUN Hungary 68.2 2010 68,275 61,000 Hungarian Central Statistical Office
ISL Iceland 37.5 2010 77,168 77,164 Statistics Iceland
IDN Indonesia 65.6 2013 143,147 419,000 Badan Pusat Statistik, Republik Indonesia
IND India 73.9 2012 405,817 619,000 Department of Animal Husbandry, Dairying & Fisheries - Ministry of Agriculture - Government of India
IRN Iran 240.5 1993 132,000 140,000 Statistical Centre of Iran
ITA Italy 54.1 2010 174,706 373,324 Istituto Nazionale di Statistica
IRQ Iraq 155.6 2014 48,300 48,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
JPN Japan 89.2 2013 74,302 17,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
JAM Jamaica 29.1 2009 1,855 4,000 Agricultural Business Information System, Jamaica
JOR Jordan 40.7 2007 7,987 2,400 Department of Statistics, Jordan
KGZ Kyrgyzstan 70.6 2012 397,988 378,448 National Statistic Committee of Kyrgyzstan
KOR South Korea 78.7 2013 29,670 30,402 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
KAZ Kazakhstan 426.5 2012 1,686,200 1,438,700 Agency of Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan
LVA Latvia 49.8 2010 10,165 12,600 Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia
LTU Lithuania 35.0 2011 45,325 49,000 Lietuvos Statistikas Departamenta
SVK Slovakia 26.1 2011 6,937 7,199 Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic
LIE Liechtenstein 8.7 2009 312 335 Amt für Statistik Liechtenstein
LSO Lesotho 55.2 2013 55,398 69,843 Bureau of Statistics of Lesotho
LUX Luxembourg 14.8 2008 6,365 4,601 Portail des statistiques du Grand-Duché de Luxembourg (STATEC)
LBY Libya 568.7 2013 35,000 45,000 Ministry of Agriculture, Animal & Marine Wealth,Libya
MDA Moldova 27.9 2011 51,275 54,413 Statistica Moldovei
MNG Mongolia 70.0 2012 2,328,541 1,920,343 National Statistical Office of Mongolia
MKD Macedonia 17.7 2006 32,548 26,658 State Statistic Office of the Republic of Macedonia
MLI Mali 372.9 2014 527,970 487,751 Institut National de la Statistique, Republique du Mali
MAR Morocco 100.2 2008 158,800 155,000 Ministère de l’Agriculture, du Développement Rural et des Pêches Maritimes du Maroc
MRT Mauritania 58.8 2007 188 20,000 Office National de la Statistique, Mauritanie
MNE Montenegro 26.7 2010 4,313 4,828 Statistical office of Montenegro-MONSTAT
MEX Mexico 28.3 2007 1,328,524 6,355,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística Geografía e Informática, México
MYS Malaysia 153.4 2007 4,782 3,706 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
MOZ Mozambique 256.1 2012 18,489 NA World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
NCL New Caledonia 24.2 2012 5,584 12,000 Institut National de la Statistique et des Études Économiques, France
NER Niger 181.3 2005 230,175 241,918 Ministère des Ressources Animales, Niger
VUT Vanuatu 23.8 2009 5,559 6,000 Vanuatu National Statistics Office
NGA Nigeria 196.9 2011 101,509 101,509 National Bureau of Statistics, Nigeria
NLD Netherlands 23.0 2010 142,531 135,000 Central Bureau voor de Statistiek, Netherlands
NOR Norway 134.1 2012 36,396 36,712 Statistics Norway
NPL Nepal 44.3 2011 17,871 NA Central Bureau of Statistics, Nepal
NIC Nicaragua 29.9 2011 361,680 268,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos, Nicaragua
NZL New Zealand 63.2 2012 56,832 64,105 Statistics New Zealand
PRY Paraguay 37.5 2008 283,804 290,000 Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería, Paraguay
PER Peru 26.7 2012 579,577 735,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática, Perú
PAK Pakistan 83.7 2010 259,130 352,000 Agricultural Census Organization, Ministry of Food & Agriculture, Pakistan
POL Poland 29.0 2010 263,795 291,208 Central Statistical Office, Poland
PAN Panama 11.1 2011 114,269 120,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censo, Panamá
PRT Portugal 17.9 2009 33,522 18,000 Instituto Nacional de Estatística - Statistics Portugal
GNB Guinea-Bissau 29.5 1994 1,124 2,200 Instituto Nacional de Estatística Guiné-Bissau. Divisao de Estatistica Agricola
QAT Qatar 35.5 2012 4,059 6,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
ROU Romania 76.2 2014 524,741 763,988 National Institute of Statistics, Romania
PHL Philippines 13.7 2010 247,916 240,000 Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS)
PRI Puerto Rico 11.4 2012 8,965 6,600 National Agricultural Statistics Service - United States Department of Agriculture
RUS Russia 424.1 2013 1,097,218 1,374,991 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
ZAF South Africa 368.2 2002 284,693 300,000 Directorate Veterinary Services, South Africa
SEN Senegal 77.2 2009 517,715 523,005 Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie du Sénégal
SVN Slovenia 12.1 2010 22,517 20,000 Statistical Office of the republic of Slovenia
ESP Spain 8.0 2009 160,283 250,000 Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Spain
SER Serbia 22.2 2012 16,855 13,721 Statistical Office of Serbia
SDN Sudan 350.5 2012 786,146 NA Ministry of Livestock, Fisheries and Rangelands, Sudan
SWE Sweden 39.4 2003 95,445 96,000 Statistics Sweden
SYR Syria 120.3 2012 16,052 14,165 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
CHE Switzerland 39.8 2009 60,156 62,113 Swiss Federal Statistical Office
THA Thailand 82.3 2014 8,871 5,525 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
TJK Tajikistan 49.5 2011 76,301 75,796 Agency for Statistics, Tajikisthan Republik
TON Tonga 11.6 2015 1,942 11,500 Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, Kingdom of Tonga
TGO Togo 106.8 2011 1,848 1,655 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
TUN Tunisia 80.4 2004 24,653 57,100 Ministère de l’Agriculture de l’Environnement et des Ressources Hydrauliques, Tunisia
TUR Turkey 29.0 2015 122,724 166,753 Turkish Statistical Institute
TKM Turkmenistan 307.3 2012 25,500 25,000 State Committee of Statistics of Turkmenistan
TZA Tanzania, United Republic of 88.4 2008 71 NA Ministry of Water and Livestock Development of Tanzania
UGA Uganda 53.6 2009 1,247 NA World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
GBR United Kingdom 10.3 2010 295,247 390,000 Department for Environment Food & Rural Affairs, U.K.
UKR Ukraine 154.6 2015 316,800 443,400 State Statistics Committee of Ukraine
USA United States 54.7 2012 3,607,866 10,000,000 National Agricultural Statistics Service - United States Department of Agriculture
BFA Burkina Faso 77.9 2008 37,810 38,531 Ministère des Ressources Animales, Ministère de l’Economie et de Développement, Burkina faso
URY Uruguay 96.8 2014 383,263 399,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
VEN Venezuela 57.1 2007 163,433 515,000 Ministerio del Poder Popular para la Agricultura y Tierras - Venezuela
VNM Vietnam 73.7 2012 83,760 93,125 -9999
NAM Namibia 251.8 2006 41,130 46,500 Department of Veterinary Services-Namibia, Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry of Namibia
SWZ Swaziland 65.7 2010 1,183 1,600 Directorate of Vetrinary and Livestock Services
YEM Yemen 194.4 2013 1,978 1,760 Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation, Republic of Yemen
ZMB Zambia 215.0 2008 757 NA Department of Research & Specialist Services
ZWE Zimbabwe 220.6 2014 86,519 28,000 World Organisation for Animal Health - OIE
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PAK Agricultural Census 2010 (http://www.pbs.gov.pk/content/agricultural-census-2010-pakistan-report) - last access 05/2014
POL Agricultural Census 2010 (http://stat.gov.pl/bdlen/app/strona.html?p_name=indeks)
PAN VII Censo Nacional Agropecuario. Resultados Finales (http://www.contraloria.gob.pa/inec/Publicaciones/subcategoria.aspx?ID_CATEGORIA=15&ID_SUBCATEGORIA=60&ID_IDIOMA=1)
PRT Agricultural Census 2009 (http://ra09.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=RA2009&xpgid=ra_home)
GNB Inquerito Annual sobre Superficie Rendimento e Producao. Campanha 93/94
QAT Qatar: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2009-2013 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
ROU Tempo online data base/Agriculture/Livestock and animal production 2013-2014 (https://statistici.insse.ro/shop/?lang=en)
PHL Livestock survey Philippines 2010
PRI 2012 Census of Agriculture (http://www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2012/)
RUS Russian Federation: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2013 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
ZAF Animal Disease Report, January to September 2003
SEN Live Data Base (LDB) (http://www.ansd.sn/publications_SES_region.html - last access 05/2014)
SVN Agricultural Census Slovenia 2010 (http://www.stat.si/eng/novica_prikazi.aspx?id=4594)
ESP Censo Agrario 2009 (http://www.ine.es/CA/Inicio.do)
SER Agricultural Census 2012 (http://webrzs.stat.gov.rs/WebSite/public/ReportView.aspx)
SDN Statistical Bulletin for Animal Resources. Issues - No. 21 - 22 - 2011 (http://www.marf.gov.sd/statistics_mag.pdf)
SWE Livestock by region, type of animal and year, 2003 (http://www.statistikdatabasen.scb.se/pxweb/en/ssd/START__JO__JO0103/HusdjurK/?rxid=e3250c8f-b729-47a0-96ae-230e40ba60e8)
SYR Syrian Arab Republic: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2008-2012 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
CHE Recensement des enterprises agricoles,1999-2009
THA Thailand: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2007-2014 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
TJK Regions of Tajikisthan Republic, 2012 (http://stat.tj/en/img/2336a7fa84c06406cfe3606ccfe6d58a_1356711960.pdf)
TON Tonga National Agricultural Census 2015 (http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/ess/ess_test_folder/World_Census_Agriculture/Country_info_2010/Reports/Reports_5/TON_ENG_REP_2015.pdf)
TGO Togo: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2008-2011 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
TUN Enquête sur les Structures des Exploitations Agricoles
TUR Livestock Database 2015 (https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/hayvancilikapp/hayvancilik_ing.zul)
TKM Statistical Yearbook of Turkmenistan 2012 (http://www.stat.gov.tm/assets/social/Yearbook_2012.pdf)
TZA National Sample Census of Agriculture, 2007/2008
UGA Uganda: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2009 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
GBR Agricultural Census 2010
UKR Livestock in Ukraine (http://ukrstat.org/en/druk/publicat/kat_e/publ4_e.htm)
USA 2012 Census of Agriculture (http://www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2012/)
BFA Les Satatistiques du Secteur de l’Elevage au Burkina Faso, 2003 & 2008
URY Uruguay: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2014 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)
VEN VII Censo Agrícola - 2007 (http://censo.mat.gob.ve/)
VNM -9999
NAM FAO Special Report, FAO/WFP Crop, Livestock and Food SecurityAssessement Mission to Namibia
SWZ Swaziland Livestock Statistics, Census 2010
YEM Agricultural Statistics Year Book 2013 (http://agricultureyemen.com/page.php?id=463)
ZMB National Livestock Census by Province 1994 to 2009
ZWE Zimbabwe: World Animal Health Information Database (WAHID) - Animal Population 2008-2014 (http://www.oie.int/wahis_2/public/wahid.php/Countryinformation/Animalpopulation)